Publications
The following journal articles are based on the Thembisa model:
- Joseph Davey D., Bekker L.G., Gomba Y., Coates T., Myer L. and Johnson L.F. (2019) Modelling the potential impact of providing pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) to pregnant and breastfeeding women in South Africa. AIDS. 33: 1391 – 1395
- Bekker L.G., Alleyne G., Baral S.D., et al. (2018) Advancing global health and strengthening the HIV response in the era of the Sustainable Development Goals: the International AIDS Society-Lancet Commission. Lancet. 392: 312 – 358
- Johnson L.F., May M.T., Dorrington R.E., Cornell M., Boulle A., Egger M. and Davies M.A. (2017) Estimating the impact of antiretroviral treatment on adult mortality trends in South Africa: a mathematical modelling study. PLoS Medicine. 14(12): e1002468.
- Johnson L.F., Dorrington R.E. and Moolla H. (2017) HIV epidemic drivers in South Africa: a model-based evaluation of factors accounting for inter-provincial differences in HIV prevalence and incidence trends. Southern African Journal of HIV Medicine. 18(1): a695
- Johnson L.F., Dorrington R.E. and Moolla H. (2017) Progress towards the 2020 targets for HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral treatment in South Africa. Southern African Journal of HIV Medicine. 18(1): a694
- Chiu C., Johnson L.F., Jamieson L., Larson B.A. and Meyer-Rath G. (2017) Designing an optimal HIV programme for South Africa: Does the optimal package change when diminishing returns are considered? BMC Public Health. 17: 143
- Johnson L.F., Chiu C., Myer L., Davies M.A., Dorrington R.E., Bekker L.G., Boulle A. and Meyer-Rath G. (2016) Prospects for HIV control in South Africa: a model-based analysis. Global Health Action. 9: 30314
- Johnson L.F., Rehle T.M., Jooste S. and Bekker L.G. (2015) Rates of HIV testing and diagnosis in South Africa, 2002-2012: successes and challenges. AIDS. 29: 1401 – 1409
- Rehle T., Johnson L., Hallett T., Mahy M., Kim A., Odido H., Onoya D., Jooste S., Shisana O., Puren A., Parekh B. and Stover J. (2015) A comparison of South African national HIV incidence estimates: a critical appraisal of different methods. PLoS One. 10(7): e0133255
- Bekker L.G., Johnson L., Cowan F., Overs C., Besada D., Hillier S. and Cates W. (2015) Combination HIV prevention for female sex workers: what is the evidence? Lancet. 385(9962): 72 – 87
In addition, a number of working papers have been published, which provide more detailed technical descriptions of the model: